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As the world faces complex future challenges, multi-party communities are…
Read moreTitle: Hidden Organisations of Influence
Author: Future Agenda | https://www.futureagenda.org
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https://www.futureagenda.org/foresights/hidden-organisations-of-influence/
The growth in globally influential, yet unaccountable, organisations that are able to undertake surveillance, steer agendas and shape government policy has wider impact.
In theory it has never been so difficult to remain below the radar. 24/7 news, constant surveillance and demands for greater accountability make it is seemingly impossible for any corporate, political or, on occasion, personal activity to go unnoticed. And yet widespread concerns about the number of increasingly influential, unaccountable, commercially driven organisations that are operating with rapidly expanding reach were often expressed during recent workshops. True, wealthy individuals and organisations have long had a disproportionate influence over elected representatives but the amount of money some companies now have to spend is unprecedented. Furthermore, new technologies have made it easier for others to access information, exert influence and move funds around the world in ways which are almost impossible to trace. The truth is they can operate effectively and invisibly without being restricted by the traditional checks and balances. At a time when calls for greater transparency are escalating it seems that meaningful oversight is lacking.
Operating out of sight is nothing new. Indeed, many organisations have intentionally kept a low profile. Most governments have a network of covert operations tasked with keeping the country safe by the collection and analysis of human intelligence. These activities, often brought to life in books and films, are a vital part of protecting the nation. In fast-moving markets, where protecting intellectual property is a priority, being secretive is a necessary part of the strategy. Many successful brands have therefore chosen to keep their internal activities and strategy hidden – KFC, Coca-Cola and Mars are all good examples. So is the tech giant, Apple. In fact, several technology firms choose to be secretive for similar, perfectly justifiable, reasons.
There are also a number of firms whose mission is to protect their clients from organised crime. A good example here is Control Risks. This low-key company helps to resolve crises such as kidnapping and industrial espionage.[1] To do this it employs a wide range of technologists, lawyers, aid workers, investigators, cyber experts, political scientists, soldiers, strategy consultants and intelligence officers. With a mission to use its ‘investigative expertise to help resolve conflict’, Kroll is another private intelligence agency used by governments and corporations to help gain and leverage hidden information and evidence of poor business practice. Both these organisations are carrying out legitimate activities by necessity away from public scrutiny. And, of course, there have always been those with particular interests who have privately lobbied governments to support a cause or espouse a point of view – and often with positive effect.
Beyond this in recent years we have seen the rise of a number of semi-autonomous organisations that exist at the interface of government and society. In the main these have emerged from within the global aerospace, defence, security or advanced technologies industries. They have an increasingly wide remit although they are often focused on the acquisition of industrial know-how and generating access to leading-edge technology, with a notable growth in associated industrial espionage. With an initial focus on defence and weapons systems, microelectronics and software development, they are also active in industrial chemicals, automotive and, more recently, cybersecurity sectors. Some are part of mainstream companies; some are dedicated security firms; some are formally planned off-shoots or sub-groups of government bodies; many are linked to intelligence and security agencies such as the CIA, NSA, MI5, MI6, KGB / FSB, BND, Mossad, Shin-Bet, Bureau 39 or the Ministry of State Security in China.
Secretive organisations are one thing but the growth in the number of smaller organisations whose operations are largely hidden from view, and, quite possibly, regulatory oversight was raised at our workshops. Some are seeking to defend assets; others wish to discover more about their competitors or develop new means of surveillance. Perhaps unsurprisingly these organisations are generally run by those with connections to, or who are previous employees of, the military or intelligence services. Although often small, generally their client base often has access to hefty budgets and comprise governments and large corporations. As a result, these companies are beginning to have a profound effect on the international stage.
Somewhat ambiguously several organisations in and around this space, perhaps aiming to build on their brand identity, have included ‘Dark’ or ‘Black’ in as part of their name. For example:
Although an aside, this frequently causes confusion not only between each other but also with the use of the word ‘dark’. Take, for example, the dark web (the part of the internet not indexed by search engines),[6] dark pools (private forums for trading securities, derivatives, and other financial instruments) [7] and dark companies (publicly listed firms that have stopped filing SEC returns and often leaving shareholders with heavy losses and a stock they know nothing about).[8]
Over and above all of this, in varied discussions, we have been alerted to a number of organisations with growing influence behind the scenes which are operating beyond normal practice, either on the edge of, or, in some instances, over the line of, what is legal (in some countries) and what society may see as appropriate. For some, their growing influence is causing considerable concern.
From the dialogues we see three types of hidden organisations:
Several of those we have heard about operate behind the scenes – beyond public record, but to give a flavour of what is underway, here are some examples that have been identified in the mainstream media:
The issue with these examples is that some companies are taking actions that are at odds with their stated propositions. The public believe one story but in fact companies are generating revenue from another route. In general, those who attended our workshops found this behaviour to be ethically dubious and, in some jurisdictions, it was considered illegal. If this was more widely recognised there may be greater public concern. While not advocating authoritarian government control of corporate activities, some we spoke to suggest that there should be greater up-front transparency around what is going on.
Revelations such as these serve to highlight malpractice that is becoming increasingly impactful. While the Mossack Fronseca case may lead to curtailment of unethical practice in some areas, there is little to suggest there will be a change in direction for Clearview AI which has the support of a growing customer base across different areas of government. Of particular concern for several analysts we spoke to is that these, and a growing number of similar examples, are being exposed because they have tripped up on a side-issue. UBiome was given the regulatory ok for its contentious fundraising approach but pulled up by the FBI for a different issue of billing. With Clearview AI it is academics raising the alarm not government. Oversight that is either absent or severely lacking may well be letting others pass unnoticed.
Although these examples offer different extremes, what connects them is that the lack of transparency means they can operate without supervision. Often this is because the technology being used, whether AI for surveillance or algorithmic investing, is leading-edge and pushing the boundaries of what is possible. Although it may be that some are also migrating into more legitimate areas, this does little to instil trust in their actions. In short, the acceleration of wholesale repurposing of security analytics for civilian applications, such as healthcare or financial services, deserves greater public scrutiny and regulatory control.
As these organisations scale in size and reach, and, as they diversify into more mainstream areas, their impact looks set to grow. Because many have been established by ex-military and government employees seeking to capitalise on their old networks and specialist skills, this is raising concern about the implications this might have for national security.[40] Take for example a warning by hundreds of global researchers of the potential for bad actors (state, private sector, or hacker) to create ‘social graphs’ using any of the tracing apps that are now widely available in order to spy on citizens’ real-world activities.[41]
Opacity is not necessarily inevitable. In the corporate world and momentum is building to call hidden actors to account. The UK government, for instance, is adapting the Companies House register to know more about who is setting up, managing and controlling organisations and improve the detection of possible criminal behaviour.[42] More broadly OpenCorporates is one of a number of websites trying to provide better public insight.[43] It uses machine learning to uncover interlinkages “to ensure that everyone knows exactly who they are working with – and working for. To tackle corruption and criminality. To protect our democracy. To create a trusted business environment, we want to work in – and a society we’d all like to live in.” This is now the largest open database of companies in the world, covering over 184m companies and 234m corporate officers.
Perhaps the most notable action of all is coming from the Citizen Lab at the University of Toronto.[44] This interdisciplinary group’s research includes “investigating digital espionage against civil society, documenting Internet filtering and other technologies and practices that impact freedom of expression online, analysing privacy, security, and information controls of popular applications, and examining transparency and accountability mechanisms relevant to the relationship between corporations and state agencies regarding personal data and other surveillance activities.” As well as being prominent in uncovering the activities of NSO and its Pegasus software, the Citizen Lab has recently also focused on the security concerns around 5G technology from Huawei and Google’s cooperation with China on the, now terminated, Dragonfly search engine project.[45]
It is clear that public bodies should increasingly tread carefully before they agree partnerships with privately held entities. Without the appropriate levels of regularity involvement, sensitive and confidential personal data can be easily scraped and monetised for commercial purposes and, once the genie is out of the bottle, it may be difficult to backtrack. Initiatives such OpenCorporates and Citizen Lab offer a sign of how the power dynamic, which often seems to be at the behest of the elite, could potentially to be turned on its head. After all, if better data about companies, or even governments, becomes more widely available perhaps it will be possible to start challenging their activities more effectively. This suggests that in the future it may well become a little more difficult for unaccountable organisations to wield their influence away from the public eye.
[1] https://www.controlrisks.com/our-services/resolving-critical-issues-and-crises
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Academi
[3] https://constellis.com/who-we-are/overview
[4] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_Cube
[5] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DarkMatter_(Emirati_company)
[6] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dark_web
[7] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dark_pool
[8] http://www.nonamestocks.com/p/dark-companies.html
[9] https://www.forbes.com/sites/nicolemartin1/2018/12/05/how-dna-companies-like-ancestry-and-23andme-are-using-your-genetic-data/#3288bbfa6189
[10] https://www.deliveringvaluethroughdata.org
[11] https://corporateeurope.org/en/power-lobbies/2018/10/brexit-trade-deal-finance-lobby-allowed-work-secret
[12] https://www.institutionalinvestor.com/article/b17t99npw9smz1/how-hedge-funds-hide
[13] https://www.theguardian.com/news/2016/apr/08/mossack-fonseca-law-firm-hide-money-panama-papers
[14] https://www.forbes.com/sites/alexknapp/2019/05/01/microbiome-startup-ubiome-cofounders-on-administrative-leave-after-reports-of-fbi-raid/#2e5b24b85829
[15] https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/18/technology/clearview-privacy-facial-recognition.html
[16] https://www.forbes.com/sites/kateoflahertyuk/2020/01/26/clearview-ais-database-has-amassed-3-billion-photos-this-is-how-if-you-want-yours-deleted-you-have-to-opt-out/#6d6202a760aa
[17] https://www.vox.com/recode/2020/2/11/21131991/clearview-ai-facial-recognition-database-law-enforcement
[18] https://cyber.harvard.edu/story/2020-01/secretive-company-might-end-privacy-we-know-it
[19] https://iapp.org/news/a/concerns-around-regulation-of-facial-recognition-technology-on-the-rise/
[20] https://www.forbes.com/sites/thomasbrewster/2020/03/31/palantir-the-20-billion-peter-thiel-backed-big-data-giant-is-providing-a-coronavirus-monitoring-tool-to-the-cdc/
[21] https://www.forbes.com/sites/michaelposner/2019/09/12/what-companies-can-learn-from-palantir/#1e22a44216e0
[22] https://healthtech.blog.gov.uk/2020/03/28/the-power-of-data-in-a-pandemic/
[23] https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-04-01/palantir-in-talks-with-germany-france-for-virus-fighting-tool
[24] https://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/2020/05/16/inside-story-cia-backed-palantir-embedded-nhs-socialite-running/
[25] https://www.wsj.com/articles/israel-prepares-to-unleash-ai-on-health-care-11568599261
[26] https://journals.lww.com/md-journal/Fulltext/2019/10180/_A_patient_like_me____An_algorithm_based_program.57.aspx
[27] https://www.wsj.com/articles/israel-prepares-to-unleash-ai-on-health-care-11568599261
[28] https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/16/world/middleeast/israel-coronavirus-cellphone-tracking.html
[29] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2019/12/white-house-veterans-helped-uae-build-secret-surveillance-unit-191210195734339.html
[30] https://www.reuters.com/investigates/special-report/usa-spying-raven/
[31] https://www.ft.com/content/95b91412-a946-11e9-b6ee-3cdf3174eb89
[32] https://twitter.com/jsrailton/status/1253502720885108736
[33] https://www.ft.com/content/bfc2759e-9d77-11e9-b8ce-8b459ed04726
[34] https://www.kraken.com/en-us/
[35] https://www.step.org/about-us
[36] https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/sep/21/how-to-hide-it-inside-secret-world-of-wealth-managers
[37] https://www.capgemini.com/news/world-wealth-report-2019/
[38] https://academic.oup.com/tandt/article-abstract/doi/10.1093/tandt/ttx098/4004853/Review-by-Jersey-Finance-of-Trusts-Weapons-of-Mass?redirectedFrom=fulltext
[39] https://www.step.org/sites/default/files/Policy/STEP_Response_7_Nov_2018.pdf
[40] https://drive.google.com/file/d/1uB4LcQHMVP-oLzIIHA9SjKj1uMd3erGu/view
[41] https://drive.google.com/file/d/1OQg2dxPu-x-RZzETlpV3lFa259Nrpk1J/view
[42] https://companieshouse.blog.gov.uk/2019/06/11/how-were-reforming-the-companies-house-register/
[43] https://opencorporates.com
[44] https://citizenlab.ca/about/
[45] https://citizenlab.ca/category/lab-news/mentions/page/2/
3 bn
Photos held by Clearview AI (2020)
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Customers of 23andme (2020)
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