The World In 2030

This is a fresh authoritative view of the key challenges and opportunities for next decade. New foresights are being added regularly throughout 2020.

Bringing together another unique combination of views from multiple discussions with informed people all over the world, this collection of foresights provides a unique view of the next ten years. It is again helping to challenge assumptions, provoke dialogue and initiate major innovation and action.

All content is available on this website as well as via a number of other leading platforms.

Please get in touch for more information.

For further information about this project please get in touch douglas.jones@futureagenda.org

Foresights

Foresight

Better Batteries

New solid-state batteries offer safer, higher performance than existing options…

New solid-state batteries offer safer, higher performance than existing options and become viable options for use across multiple sectors. Competitive…

New solid-state batteries offer safer, higher performance than existing options and become viable options for use across multiple sectors. Competitive pricing and proactive policymaking accelerate global uptake. Context Battery development…

Foresight

Broader Decision Making

As the world faces complex future challenges, multi-party communities are…

As the world faces complex future challenges, multi-party communities are themselves expanding and fragmenting. New approaches to broader decision-making gain…

As the world faces complex future challenges, multi-party communities are themselves expanding and fragmenting. New approaches to broader decision-making gain traction. Context It is increasingly apparent that the big…

Foresight

Data Provenance

Although the ability to trust data is fundamental for economic…

Although the ability to trust data is fundamental for economic and commercial activity, technology is exploding the scale and scope…

Although the ability to trust data is fundamental for economic and commercial activity, technology is exploding the scale and scope of the inauthentic. Demonstrating data provenance becomes a prerequisite to…

Foresight

Data Taxation

Digital business models make it almost impossible to pin down…

Digital business models make it almost impossible to pin down where multinationals make money and where they pay tax. Regulators…

Digital business models make it almost impossible to pin down where multinationals make money and where they pay tax. Regulators use new taxes to ensure organisations are more accountable for…

Digital business models make it almost impossible to pin down where multinationals make money and where they pay tax. Regulators use new taxes to ensure organisations are more accountable for the data they own or access. Adam Smith said that…

Foresight

Electric Aviation

As the pressure to decarbonise aviation builds, using electric planes…

As the pressure to decarbonise aviation builds, using electric planes for short and medium-haul flights gathers support. Although some technological…

As the pressure to decarbonise aviation builds, using electric planes for short and medium-haul flights gathers support. Although some technological challenges are significant, investment and regulation align to accelerate development.…

Foresight

Future of Work

The Challenge Shifts such as technological progress, globalisation, an increasingly…

The Challenge Shifts such as technological progress, globalisation, an increasingly ageing population and climate change are revolutionising how and where…

The Challenge Shifts such as technological progress, globalisation, an increasingly ageing population and climate change are revolutionising how and where we work. For some this offers unparalleled opportunity, bringing stability,…

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Hidden Organisations of Influence

The growth in globally influential, yet unaccountable, organisations that are…

The growth in globally influential, yet unaccountable, organisations that are able to undertake surveillance, steer agendas and shape government policy…

The growth in globally influential, yet unaccountable, organisations that are able to undertake surveillance, steer agendas and shape government policy has wider impact. Context In theory it has never…

Foresight

Hospitals of the Future

As physical and virtual trends align with digital delivery and…

As physical and virtual trends align with digital delivery and early prevention, there will be more change in hospitals by…

As physical and virtual trends align with digital delivery and early prevention, there will be more change in hospitals by 2030 than has occurred in the last 30 years. Context…

As physical and virtual trends align with digital delivery and early prevention, there will be more change in hospitals by 2030 than has occurred in the last 30 years. Context As healthcare needs and systems around the world evolve,…

Foresight

Migrating Diseases

With 2oC of global warming probable and 4oC possible, health…

With 2oC of global warming probable and 4oC possible, health systems struggle to address the growing impact of climate change.…

With 2oC of global warming probable and 4oC possible, health systems struggle to address the growing impact of climate change. The increased spread of vector-borne diseases joins poor air quality…

With 2oC of global warming probable and 4oC possible, health systems struggle to address the growing impact of climate change. The increased spread of vector-borne diseases joins poor air quality as a major public health threat. Although smoke from…

Foresight

Moving Water

While some regions gain from better water management, much of…

While some regions gain from better water management, much of the world’s population increasingly depend on water moved from one…

While some regions gain from better water management, much of the world’s population increasingly depend on water moved from one river basin to another. New options are explored to achieve…

While some regions gain from better water management, much of the world’s population increasingly depend on water moved from one river basin to another. New options are explored to achieve this economically and with reduced socio-environmental damage. CONTEXT Since…

Foresight

Peak Soil

Soil is fundamental, fragile and finite. It impacts everything from…

Soil is fundamental, fragile and finite. It impacts everything from food and health to conflict and migration. Deeper understanding of…

Soil is fundamental, fragile and finite. It impacts everything from food and health to conflict and migration. Deeper understanding of its degradation raises the significance of soil to equal that…

Soil is fundamental, fragile and finite. It impacts everything from food and health to conflict and migration. Deeper understanding of its degradation raises the significance of soil to equal that of climate change and biodiversity loss. The Problem We know…

Foresight

Porous Organisations

Increasing competition for talent forces organisations to be open and…

Increasing competition for talent forces organisations to be open and permeable: Building, maintaining and retaining corporate know-how is a pivotal…

Increasing competition for talent forces organisations to be open and permeable: Building, maintaining and retaining corporate know-how is a pivotal challenge but so is attracting and curating flexible, independent workers.…

Foresight

Proof of Immunity and the Demise of Privacy

Public concerns about health security override worries about privacy. Governments…

Public concerns about health security override worries about privacy. Governments integrate immunity and health data with national identities facilitated by…

Public concerns about health security override worries about privacy. Governments integrate immunity and health data with national identities facilitated by digital identity platforms. Insufficient regulatory control risks the possibility of…

Foresight

Restoring Earth

Restoring Earth Long-term commitments but short-term action fails to prevent…

Restoring Earth Long-term commitments but short-term action fails to prevent the spiral towards catastrophic climate change and the continued collapse…

Restoring Earth Long-term commitments but short-term action fails to prevent the spiral towards catastrophic climate change and the continued collapse of biodiversity. As reality bites so does the pressure for…

Foresight

The UK in 2030

A more diverse, less influential, but still growing country tacking the…

A more diverse, less influential, but still growing country tacking the challenges of more inequality and devolution but leading in several key areas…

A more diverse, less influential, but still growing country tacking the challenges of more inequality and devolution but leading in several key areas Looking Ahead At a time when there is much…

A more diverse, less influential, but still growing country tacking the challenges of more inequality and devolution but leading in several key areas Looking Ahead At a time when there is much speculation on what the next twelve months may bring, some…

Presentations

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Future of autonomous vehicles initial perspective

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Future of digital identity initial perspective

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Future of Digital Identity Programme summary

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Future of education project overview

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Future of value of data interim summary spanish 2018 esp

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Future value of data Final report

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La Valeur Future Des Données – PROJET DE RÉSUMÉ 15…

La Valeur Future Des Données – PROJET DE RÉSUMÉ 15 Dec 2018

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RCA CERN Grand Challenge

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The future of patient data the danish perspective – infographic

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Understanding uncertainty RCA

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Valor futuro de los datos informe final – resumen del…

Valor futuro de los datos informe final – resumen del proyecto 15 Dec 2018

Insights

Insight

Assertion of My Digital Rights

A DI Bill of Rights is already demanded by many. How this is built, by who, what it includes, and critically, how it is enforced, will be hotly contested.

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Attributes not Digital ID

Users give permission for a third party to access the appropriate attribute mix required to complete a given exchange. ID may/may not feature.

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Automated Freight

The significant automation of expressway trucks is of huge commercial interest. It will transform long-haul journeys and so is the principal focus for regulation and trials across all levels of AV.

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Balanced Proof of Identification

Digital users become more demanding about ensuring they ‘get as well as they give’ with regard to verification of those whom they choose to engage.

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Benefits of Catastrophe

Digital ID catastrophe is almost inevitable, but will be a stimulus to drive positive changes in awareness of secure identity and authentication.

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Blocs Lead the Way to Interoperability

Blocs of friendly states lead interoperability through government issued digital IDs that are recognised across international borders.

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Blueprint for Success

Global financial transactions and payments infrastructures will provide us with the ‘blueprint’ for building a truly interoperable Digital ID system.

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Centralised or Distributed Digital Identity Systems?

Distributed implementation removes concerns of trust in single entities. Centralised systems bring uptake and interoperability. Nation states decide.

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Competing Interest Areas

A battle for ‘ownership’ of the identity space grows, highlighting ideologies: e.g. social good, economic opportunity, privacy, national security, social order.

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Controlled Environments

Controlled environments have demonstrated the early steps for AV and are growing steadily. Airports, port terminals, factories, mines and even dedicated highways all provide safe areas for development.

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Convenience Rules

Continuing consumer appetite for convenience drives development of Digital ID, especially as many processes requiring formal ID feel so old-fashioned today.

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Cost Reduction

Digital ID enables service providers to reduce their transaction costs and accelerate the pace of innovation, both for them and for wider society.

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Cyber Security

With the threat of hacks, denial of service, vandalism and theft of data, organisations seek to make AV more secure through adopting common approaches for closed, collaborative systems.

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Data Dividend

Providing a data dividend paid to all citizens would mean that they are remunerated by companies for the use of their data. It could also encourage more personal data sharing and even help set standards for IoT data.

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Data IP Attribution

Digital IDs enable the tracing of contribution of individual ‘chunks’ of data in data-driven services, allowing for all contributors to be fairly recompensed.

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Data Provenance

Digital ID enables provenance of all ‘owned data’ including data provided by, say, passive sensors in cars, much of which may not be personal at all.

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Data Sharing

More and deeper data sharing are pivotal in enabling the AV ambition. Mobility brands eventually agree the protocols for V2X interaction and so support the use of open data sets.

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Data-less business models

Innovations allow users to give access to data without sharing it. New models centre on positive, privacy-preserving, consumer propositions.

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Digital Citizenship

Digital IDs issued at birth and/or multi-lateral and global bodies issuing and protecting Digital ID gives greater meaning and usefulness to them.

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Digital ID Accountability

Clear accountability and strong punishments emerge in response to Digital ID misuse, reputation damage and a need for good data stewardship.

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Digital ID as a Fundamental Human Right

Digital Identity becomes a fundamental human right. Governments ensure both access and equity for all, while business is made to respect this right.

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Digital ID as Belonging

Just as individuals identify with others (e.g. location, faith, custom), so it is in the digital space. Cultural and social sensitivities remain key.

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Digital ID as Qualifications Wallet

Digital ID enables decentralized, or even non-university, qualification acquisition and presentation given growth in online, skills-based education.

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Digital ID Federations

As with airline alliances (e.g. Star Alliance), Digital ID Federations form linking together Attribute Suppliers and Digital ID Providers.

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Digital ID for Good

Digital ID is used as a problem-solving tool – e.g. tracking personal carbon footprints. But is it a doorway to unintended social monitoring?

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Digital ID Platforms

Brokers emerge to help individuals easily manage their use of multiple ID’s, profiles and attributes across different contexts.

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Digital Identity – The First Wave

Early adopters will include those who need to become familiar with Digital ID in order to access basic (digitally adapting) government services.

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Digital Identity Literacy

A wholesale move toward Digital ID will require it’s own programme of education to teach people how to maintain and keep safe their Digital ID.

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Digital Revenues Tax

The EU has proposed a digital service tax of 3% on the income from all commercial activities. This will give countries the rights to tax the largest companies based on a proportion of their global sales.

The World In 2030

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